20/11/2015 13h24 - Updated 4/12/2015 14h59

Brasil será o único com recessão entre maiores PIBs globais em 2016

Between the 12 maiores economias do mundo só o país é que deve registrar queda.
Photo: reproduction
Photo: reproduction

Between the 12 maiores economias e blocos econômicos do mundo com previsões no novo relatórioGlobal Economics Analyst”, produzido pelo Goldman Sachs, o Brasil é o único que deve registrar queda do Produto Interno Bruto (START) in 2016. Para o banco, todos os demais países devem ter crescimento no próximo ano. Até mesmo a Rússiapaís que divide com o Brasil o posto de pior desempenho do G-20deve voltar a registrar expansão no próximo ano.

De acordo com o relatório divulgado nesta quinta-feira, In London, a economia brasileira seguirá em recessão no ano da Olimpíada no Rio de Janeiro, quando terá contração de 1,6%. Na tabela das previsões do Goldman Sachs, O
Brasil é o único com números negativos no próximo ano. Todas as demais previsões mostram estimativas em azul.

The Russia, país que deve ter contração do PIB de 3,5% in this year, caminha para a recuperação e deve ter expansão da economia de 1,5% in the next year, prevê o banco. Outros grandes emergentes terão desempenho muito superior ao esperado para o Brasil: Índia terá avanço de 7,8% e China, from 6,4%.

No grupo dos desenvolvidos, não há nenhum país com números negativos. Os Estados Unidos devem crescer 2,2% in 2016, o Japão terá avanço de 1% e o conjunto da zona do euro, from 1,7%, prevê o Goldman Sachs. Entre os europeus, o crescimento deverá ser liderado pelo Reino Unido (with 2,7%) seguido pela Espanha (2,5%), Germany (1,8%), Italy (1,6%) e a França (1,4%).

No caso específico da China, o banco prevê uma desaceleração do crescimento, mas diz que isso não impedirá a economia global de ganhar tração em 2016. A instituição prevê que o crescimento da segunda maior economia do mundo vai desacelerar para 7% in 2015 e 6,4% in 2016.

World
Para o Goldman Sachs, however, a situação menos pior na Rússia e Brasil, além da aceleração do Japão, Europa e Índia, vai permitir que a economia mundial aumente o passo do crescimento de 3,2% neste ano para 3,5% in 2016. “A melhora do Produto Interno Bruto global reflete, em grande parte, a estabilização em algumas das economias emergentes mais castigadas”, the document says.

Source: Veja.com

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