30/12/2015 10h31 - Updated 30/12/2015 10h31

Brasil terá novo rombo nas contas públicas em 2016, dizem economistas

For them, o próximo ano será, once again, de desequilíbrio nas contas públicas.
Photo: Marcelo Sayão / EFE / SEE
Photo: Marcelo Sayão / EFE / SEE

O próximo ano será, once again, de desequilíbrio nas contas públicas, o que tende a comprometer o cumprimento da meta de superávit primário (a economia para o pagamento de juros da dívida). Esta é a avaliação de economistas, após a divulgação, on Tuesday, de um rombo recorde nas contas do governo em novembro.

O governo se comprometeu a poupar em 2016 or equivalent 0,5% do Produto interno Bruto (START). “Vai ficar muito difícil para novo ministro cumprir a meta de superávit fiscal de 2016. Acho que ano vem vamos voltar a ter déficit”, diz o economista José Luis Oreiro. Ele lembra que o resultado de dezembro deveria até ser melhor. “Sempre temos no fim do ano as receitas não recorrentes: vem aí, for example, a distribuição de lucros do BNDES (National Bank for Economic and Social Development)”, he says.

However, o cenário vai mudar caso o governo leve adiante a proposta de pagar as chamadas “tax pedaling” (artifícios contábeis que protelam o pagamento de gastos e dão a impressão de que o resultado das contas públicas é melhor do que o real). “Com o pagamento das pedaladas, o resultado de dezembro vai ser pior, muito pior. There will be over 50 bilhões de reais só de pedaladas e, like this, teremos um déficit primário da ordem de 60 bilhões de reais.Oreiro considera esse sacrifício positivo, pois liquida os passivos. However, a medida não trará alívio para o próximo ano.

O segundo dado negativo foi a presidente Dilma Rousseff ter sacramentado o reajuste do salário mínimo em 11,6% a partir de primeiro de janeiro. “O reajuste do mínimo vai elevar despesas trabalhistas e assistenciais, principalmente as da previdência”, lembra Fábio Klein, analista de finanças públicas da Tendências Consultoria Integrada. As despesas da previdência respondem por quase metade dos gastos obrigatórios.

Na avaliação de Felipe Salto, economista e especialista em contas públicas, a regra deveria ser revista. “É preciso rediscutir as indexações”, says. “Furthermore, a dívida pública crescente combinada com a inflação descontrolada anulam os aparentes efeitos positivos do aumento.

Source: Veja.com

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lang = 'en' 303 | 0 | enabled | cached | 995 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Termos de uso' and lang = 'en' 304 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Contato' and lang = 'en' 305 | 0 | enabled | cached | 995 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Termos de uso' and lang = 'en' 306 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 972 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Wp' and lang = 'en' 307 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 986 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Copyright' and lang = 'en' 308 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 309 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 1009 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'All rights reserved' and lang = 'en' 310 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'RSS' and lang = 'en' 311 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 903 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Atom' and lang = 'en' 312 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 313 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 903 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Feed' and lang = 'en' 314 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 315 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 912 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Comments Feed' and lang = 'en' 316 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 317 | 0 | enabled | cached | 947 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Brasil terá novo rombo nas contas públicas em' and lang = 'en' 318 | 0 | enabled | cached | 917 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dizem economistas' and lang = 'en' 319 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 912 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Comments Feed' and lang = 'en' 320 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'RSD' and lang = 'en' 321 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Facebook' and lang = 'en' 322 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Twitter' and lang = 'en' 323 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 986 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Instagram' and lang = 'en' 324 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 1007 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Em meio a crise' and lang = 'en' 325 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1045 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Dilma pede ajuda ao setor privado' and lang = 'en' 326 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1063 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Auditores do TCU apontam falha em defesa de Dilma' and lang = 'en' 327 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1025 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Dívida Pública Federal sobe' and lang = 'en' 328 | 0 | enabled | cached | 909 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'e vai a R$' and lang = 'en' 329 | 0 | enabled | cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'tri' and lang = 'en' 330 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1046 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Levy defende teto para dívida pública' and lang = 'en' 331 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Foto' and lang = 'en' 332 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1020 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Marcelo Sayão/EFE/VEJA' and lang = 'en' 333 | 0 | enabled | cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Foto' and lang = 'en' 334 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 1004 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Evaristo Sá/AFP' and lang = 'en' 335 | 0 | enabled | cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Foto' and lang = 'en' 336 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'VEJA' and lang = 'en' 337 | 0 | enabled | cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Foto' and lang = 'en' 338 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 924 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Istockphoto/Divulgação' and lang = 'en' 339 | 0 | enabled | cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Foto' and lang = 'en' 340 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 986 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Exame.com' and lang = 'en' 341 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 1031 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'f9e30ce7abfc8bb8d2a0452920e3e1' and lang = 'en' 342 | 0 | enabled | cached | 1003 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Redação AM POST' and lang = 'en' 343 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 1017 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'webmaster@ampost.com.br' and lang = 'en' 344 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 1093 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'O AM POST é o maior portal de notícias do estado do Amazonas' and lang = 'en' 345 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'esporte' and lang = 'en' 346 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 987 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'jornais' and lang = 'en' 347 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'revistas' and lang = 'en' 348 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 985 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'biblioteca' and lang = 'en' 349 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 993 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'classificados' and lang = 'en' 350 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'compras' and lang = 'en' 351 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 986 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'computador' and lang = 'en' 352 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'corpo' and lang = 'en' 353 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'saúde' and lang = 'en' 354 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'moda' and lang = 'en' 355 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 978 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'carros' and lang = 'en' 356 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'cinema' and lang = 'en' 357 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 985 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'crianças' and lang = 'en' 358 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'diversão' and lang = 'en' 359 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 975 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'arte' and lang = 'en' 360 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 983 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'economia' and lang = 'en' 361 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 987 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'educação' and lang = 'en' 362 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'internet' and lang = 'en' 363 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 978 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'jogos' and lang = 'en' 364 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 988 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'novelas' and lang = 'en' 365 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'rádio' and lang = 'en' 366 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 972 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'tv' and lang = 'en' 367 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'tempo' and lang = 'en' 368 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 977 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'mapas' and lang = 'en' 369 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'trânsito' and lang = 'en' 370 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 1000 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'últimas notícias' and lang = 'en' 371 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'viagem' and lang = 'en' 372 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 990 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'jornalismo' and lang = 'en' 373 | 0.0005 | enabled | not cached | 993 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'informação' and lang = 'en' 374 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'notícia' and lang = 'en' 375 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'cultura' and lang = 'en' 376 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 997 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'entretenimento' and lang = 'en' 377 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 985 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'lazer' and lang = 'en' 378 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 983 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'opinião' and lang = 'en' 379 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'análise' and lang = 'en' 380 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 984 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'internet' and lang = 'en' 381 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'televisão' and lang = 'en' 382 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 991 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'fotografia' and lang = 'en' 383 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'imagem' and lang = 'en' 384 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 973 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'som' and lang = 'en' 385 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'áudio' and lang = 'en' 386 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'vídeo' and lang = 'en' 387 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'fotos' and lang = 'en' 388 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 990 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'tecnologia' and lang = 'en' 389 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 990 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'vestibular' and lang = 'en' 390 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'empregos' and lang = 'en' 391 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 978 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'humor' and lang = 'en' 392 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 979 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'música' and lang = 'en' 393 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 978 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'pt-br' and lang = 'en' 394 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 986 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'text/html' and lang = 'en' 395 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 996 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'charset=UTF-8' and lang = 'en' 396 | 0 | enabled | cached | 947 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Brasil terá novo rombo nas contas públicas em' and lang = 'en' 397 | 0 | enabled | cached | 917 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dizem economistas' and lang = 'en' 398 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 399 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 991 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/2015/12/brasil-tera-novo-rombo-nas-contas-publicas-em-2016-dizem-economistas/' and lang = 'en' 400 | 0 | enabled | cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 401 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 956 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/divida-Copy.jpg' and lang = 'en' 402 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 906 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'article' and lang = 'en' 403 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 404 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 919 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'summary_large_image' and lang = 'en' 405 | 0 | enabled | cached | 947 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Brasil terá novo rombo nas contas públicas em' and lang = 'en' 406 | 0 | enabled | cached | 917 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dizem economistas' and lang = 'en' 407 | 0 | enabled | cached | 920 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'O próximo ano será' and lang = 'en' 408 | 0 | enabled | cached | 992 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'mais uma vez' and lang = 'en' 409 | 0 | enabled | cached | 938 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'de desequilíbrio nas contas públicas' and lang = 'en' 410 | 0 | enabled | cached | 971 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'o que tende a comprometer o cumprimento da meta de superávit primário' and lang = 'en' 411 | 0 | enabled | cached | 947 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'a economia para o pagamento de juros da dívida' and lang = 'en' 412 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'E..' and lang = 'en' 413 | 0 | enabled | cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 414 | 0 | enabled | cached | 991 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/2015/12/brasil-tera-novo-rombo-nas-contas-publicas-em-2016-dizem-economistas/' and lang = 'en' 415 | 0 | enabled | cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 416 | 0 | enabled | cached | 956 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/divida-Copy.jpg' and lang = 'en' 417 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 418 | 0 | enabled | cached | 985 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Para eles' and lang = 'en' 419 | 0 | enabled | cached | 920 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'o próximo ano será' and lang = 'en' 420 | 0 | enabled | cached | 992 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'mais uma vez' and lang = 'en' 421 | 0 | enabled | cached | 938 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'de desequilíbrio nas contas públicas' and lang = 'en' 422 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'brasil' and lang = 'en' 423 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 905 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'contas' and lang = 'en' 424 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 913 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'desequilíbrio' and lang = 'en' 425 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 906 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dívida' and lang = 'en' 426 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 983 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'economia' and lang = 'en' 427 | 0.0002 | enabled | not cached | 987 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'governo' and lang = 'en' 428 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 904 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'juros' and lang = 'en' 429 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 908 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'públicas' and lang = 'en' 430 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 908 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dontuseme' and lang = 'en' 431 | 0 | enabled | cached | 982 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'AM POST' and lang = 'en' 432 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 904 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'en-US' and lang = 'en' 433 | 0 | enabled | cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 434 | 0 | enabled | cached | 991 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/2015/12/brasil-tera-novo-rombo-nas-contas-publicas-em-2016-dizem-economistas/' and lang = 'en' 435 | 0 | enabled | cached | 980 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'brasil' and lang = 'en' 436 | 0.0001 | enabled | cached | 905 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'contas' and lang = 'en' 437 | 0 | enabled | cached | 913 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'desequilíbrio' and lang = 'en' 438 | 0 | enabled | cached | 906 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dívida' and lang = 'en' 439 | 0 | enabled | cached | 983 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'economia' and lang = 'en' 440 | 0 | enabled | cached | 987 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'governo' and lang = 'en' 441 | 0 | enabled | cached | 904 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'juros' and lang = 'en' 442 | 0 | enabled | cached | 908 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'públicas' and lang = 'en' 443 | 0 | enabled | cached | 908 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'dontuseme' and lang = 'en' 444 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'T14' and lang = 'en' 445 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 902 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'T19' and lang = 'en' 446 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 903 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'true' and lang = 'en' 447 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 1011 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'Sara Matos Rodrigues' and lang = 'en' 448 | 0.0001 | enabled | not cached | 930 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'd2ecbbd931786040cceb1b0d2481c1' and lang = 'en' 449 | 0 | enabled | cached | 976 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'http' and lang = 'en' 450 | 0 | enabled | cached | 956 | SELECT translated, source FROM wp_translations WHERE original = 'ampost.com.br/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/divida-Copy.jpg' and lang = 'en' Served from: ampost.com.br @ 2017-01-24 15:26:35 by W3 Total Cache -->