15/01/2016 09h42 - Updated 15/01/2016 09h42

Prévia do PIB cai pela nona vez seguida em novembro

Na comparação com novembro de 2014, o índice caiu 6,72%.
Photo: Divulgação/Petrobras/VEJA
Photo: Divulgação/Petrobras/VEJA

The Economic Activity Index Central Bank (IBC-Br), considerado umaprévia” Gross Domestic Product (START), teve baixa de 0,52% em novembro ante outubro, a nona consecutiva, na série com ajuste sazonal. O resultado veio menor do que a mediana de -0,90% das estimativas apuradas pela Agência Estado com 35 instituições financeiras.

Na comparação com novembro de 2014, o índice caiu 6,72%. In 12 months, o recuo é de 3,63% e no acumulado de 2015 until November, a retração está em 3,88%, ambos na série com ajuste. Last year, apenas o mês de fevereiro (+0,53%) não teve retração mensal do nível de atividade.

A baixa vista em novembro era esperada, já que os indicadores mensais indicavam um cenário ruim. A produção industrial teve no penúltimo mês do ano uma queda de 2,4%, a mais forte desde dezembro de 2013. No mesmo mês, o volume do setor de serviços registrou queda de 6,3% – a maior da série histórica do indicador, started in 2012.

A gente está vendo o PIB em queda livre. Todos os sinais são de que a gente vai continuar assim por um tempo ainda”, avaliou a economista-chefe da XP Investimentos, Zeina Latif.

No Relatório Trimestral de Inflação (RTI) from December, o BC revisou sua previsão de queda para o PIB de 2015 from -2,7% for -3,6%. For 2016, a primeira estimativa apresentada pela instituição é de um recuo de 1,9% da atividade.

No Relatório de Mercado Focus da última segunda-feira, a mediana das expectativas para o PIB estava negativa em 2,99% for 2016 is at +0,88% for 2017.

Source: Veja.com

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