11/04/2016 10h58 - Updated 11/04/2016 10h58

Mercado piora previsão para o PIB de 2016 pela décima segunda vez consecutiva

A previsão é ruim tanto para 2016, quanto para 2017.
pib (Copy)

Economistas ouvidos pelo Banco Central (BC), no boletim Focus, pioraram, again, a previsão para o Produto Interno Bruto (START), tanto para 2016 quanto para 2017. For this year, a expectativa é de uma contração de 3,77%, contra uma retração de 3,73% estimada na semana anterior. Foi a décima segunda piora consecutiva do indicador. Para o ano que vem, a estimativa se manteve em 0,30%.

In 2015, o PIB brasileiro teve um tombo de 3,8%, o maior em 25 years, according to the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Se o resultado for negativo este ano, será a primeira vez que o país registra dois anos seguidos de contração na economia, considerando a série histórica oficial, do IBGE, com início em 1948.

Já para a inflação, o mercado reduziu a estimativa pela quarta vez seguida neste ano, ao cair de 7,28% for 7,14%. Apesar do recuo, o número ainda está acima do teto de 6,5% da meta do governo e bem distante do objetivo central de 4,5%. For 2017, a projeção do mercado é de 5,95%, um pouco abaixo do teto do regime de metas para o ano que vem.

O alívio na previsão de inflação do mercado para este ano começou após a divulgação do IPCA de fevereiro, que desacelerou para 0,9%, Against 1,27% no mês anterior.

Para os juros, o mercado manteve 13,75% a estimativa para a taxa Selic no fim deste ano. Já para o fim de 2017, a estimativa para a taxa de juros foi reduzida para 12,25% per year.

No caso do dólar, a projeção para o câmbio no fim de 2016 se manteve em 4 real. Para o fechamento de 2017, a previsão também se manteve, staying in 4,10 real.

Source: Veja.com

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