24/05/2016 09h36 - Updated 24/05/2016 09h36

Consumer confidence rises 3,5 points in May, shows FGV

De abril para maio, índice passou de 64,4 for 67,9 points.
Photo: reproduction
Photo: reproduction

O Índice de Confiança do Consumidor (ICC) advanced 3,5 pontos de abril para maio, to pass 64,4 for 67,9 points. De acordo com dados do Instituto Brasileiro de Economia (Ibre) da Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) released today (24), pela primeira vez desde dezembro de 2013, o consumidor não está pessimista em relação à evolução da economia nos meses seguintes. O resultado de maio do ICC reverte o resultado negativo de 2,7 pontos de abril para março. Em relação a fevereiro, a queda foi de 1,4 Score.

“Embora a alta do ICC somente compense a queda dos dois meses anteriores, houve expressiva melhora das expectativas em maio e, pela primeira vez desde dezembro de 2013, o consumidor não está pessimista em relação à evolução da economia nos meses seguintes”, explicou a coordenadora da Sondagem do Consumidor, a economista da FGV Viviane Seda Bittencourt.

Na avaliação da economista, os números foram influenciados pelo processo de afastamento da presidenta Dilma Rousseff. “[O aumento deve-se] ao desfecho da primeira fase do processo de impeachment, que alterou positivamente o humor de uma parcela dos consumidores, talvez em função da percepção de redução das incertezas.”

O resultado do mês tem como destaque a melhora das perspectivas em relação aos meses seguintes, com o Índice de Expectativas (IE), que avançou 5,3 pontos de abril para maio – maior alta desde outubro de 2011, quanto o índice subiu 6,2 points. Com a alta, o IE atingiu 71,1 points, the highest since June 2015 (73,1). The Current Situation Index (ISA) teve resultado positivo, apesar de menor: 0,8 Score, reaching 65,5 points.

Second FGV, entre os quesitos que integram o ICC, a maior contribuição para a alta no mês foi dada pelo indicador que mede o otimismo com relação à economia nos meses seguintes, que subiu 14,4 pontos ao passar de 86 for 100,4 points, o melhor resultado desde dezembro de 2013 (100,4). A parcela de consumidores projetando melhora avançou de 20% for 29,9%; enquanto a dos que preveem piora recuou de 35,2% for 24,4%.

Momento presente

Em relação ao momento presente, o Índice de Confiança do consumidor mostra alta de 2,7 pontos em maio no indicador que mede o grau de satisfação dos consumidores em relação à situação financeira da família.

Second FGV, o resultado reflete certa acomodação após o indicador ter recuado nos dois meses anteriores e atingido o mínimo histórico em abril, ao descer a 56,9 points.

Classe de renda

Foi verificada ainda alta da confiança em todas as classes, com melhora mais expressiva entre os consumidores de maior poder aquisitivo (renda familiar superior a R$ 9,6 thousand monthly). Para esses consumidores, o Índice de Confiança do Consumidor chegou a aumentar 9,3 points, “com perspectivas mais otimistas em relação à economia, às finanças pessoais e até quanto à intenção de compra de bens duráveis”.

Apesar dos dados positivos, However, o resultado geral da pesquisa mostra “que a confiança do consumidor continua baixa em termos históricos e com tendência indefinida para os próximos meses”.

A edição de maio do Índice de Expectativa do Consumidor de 2016 coletou informações em 2.049 domicílios, between the days 2 e 19 of May.

Source: Agency Brazil

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