05/05/2016 10h05 - Actualizado 5/05/2016 10h05

Indicador predice caída del desempleo en Brasil en los próximos meses

Indicador se basa en la encuesta de expectativas de la industria y la evolución de los negocios.
foto: revelación
foto: revelación

La historia de indicador de empleo (IAEmp) avanzado 3,7% en abril de este año, llegar 76,5 puntos, el nivel más alto desde mayo 2014, cuando se trataba 79,3 puntos. Los datos fueron dados a conocer hoy (5) el Instituto Brasileño de Economía, la Fundación Getulio Vargas (Ibra / FGV).

Con el resultado de abril, el indicador de promedios móviles trimestrales (la comparación entre los tres meses terminados en abril con tres terminaron en febrero) acusado de alta 1,5%, a sexta consecutiva, señalización, la evaluación de FGV, "Una habitación en la velocidad de caída de las personas empleadas en la economía brasileña en los próximos meses."

El aumento en abril fue influenciado por el elemento de la Encuesta de la Industria, que mide el grado de optimismo respecto a la evolución de la situación de las empresas en los próximos seis meses, y alcanzó variar 10,8%.

La historia de indicador de empleo (IAEmp) avanzado 3,7% en abril de este año, llegar 76,5 puntos, el nivel más alto desde mayo 2014, cuando se trataba 79,3 puntos. Los datos fueron dados a conocer hoy (5) el Instituto Brasileño de Economía, la Fundación Getulio Vargas (Ibra / FGV).

Con el resultado de abril, el indicador de promedios móviles trimestrales (la comparación entre los tres meses terminados en abril con tres terminaron en febrero) acusado de alta 1,5%, a sexta consecutiva, señalización, la evaluación de FGV, "Una habitación en la velocidad de caída de las personas empleadas en la economía brasileña en los próximos meses."

El aumento en abril fue influenciado por el elemento de la Encuesta de la Industria, que mide el grado de optimismo respecto a la evolución de la situación de las empresas en los próximos seis meses, y alcanzó variar 10,8%.

A pesar de los malos resultados en Abril, El economista Fernando de Holanda Barbosa Filho FGV ver los movimientos que indican mejora en el margen. "A pesar de que el indicador de antecedentes de empleo se mantiene por debajo de la media histórica y el desempleo Indicador Coincidente, hasta. O sea, el mercado laboral está en una mala situación ".

ralentización

Para o economista, La buena noticia es que los movimientos recientes muestran una mejora en el margen. "Estos movimientos muestran que, aunque el mercado de trabajo debería seguir deteriorándose en los próximos meses, el ritmo de empeoramiento se está desacelerando ", dice.

datos de abril, sobre el indicador del fondo de desempleo indican, también, el desempleo Indicador Coincidente (CIE) habiendo sido en abril, para variar -1,9%, llegar 95,6 puntos. Es el cuarto indicador de disminución consecutiva, que alcanzó el nivel más bajo desde septiembre 2015 (92,6 puntos). "La tendencia de la DCI señala un enfriamiento de la tendencia negativa en la tasa de desempleo", analiza la FGV.

Todavía en el CIE, las clases que más contribuyeron a la caída del indicador fueron los consumidores con ingresos mensuales entre R $ 4.800 e R$ 9.600, cuyo indicador de la facilidad percibida de obtener un empleo (invertido) variado -4,3%, Al mismo tiempo, DNI del consumidor, con ingresos entre R $ y R $ 2,1mil 4,8 mil, variado -3,7%.

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