Ibope poll released on Monday (1º) shows shortness of breath Fernando Haddad between the typical voter Lula - from the election 2002, the PT has won among Brazilians less educated, lower income and concentrated in the Northeast. Bolsonaro, on the other hand, He moved three points among lower income (now has 19%), It remained stable among less educated (19%) and raised four points between the Northeast Voter, getting at 21%, compared to the survey of day 22 e 23 of September.
Even with the manifestations of women against Bolsonaro, the former captain grew between them: it went from 21% for 24% of the vote - the discharge occurred mainly among middle-class voters and richer. Haddad fluctuated negatively a point, passing 21% for 20%.
PSL candidate rejection also decreased among women, passing 54% for 51%. Since the PT has grown seven points, getting at 33%. The Ibope survey was the field between Saturday (29) and Sunday (30) - the demonstration of women against Bolsonaro throughout Brazil and the world was on Saturday.
According to the data Ibope, Haddad has lost four points among those who have family income of up to one minimum wage, passing in a week 30% for 26% of the vote. Also negatively fluctuated between two points less educated, from 28% for 26% of the vote. Still ahead of Jair Bolsonaro between these strata. But the PSL candidate forward in the group of those with family income up 1 minimum wage, passing 16% for 19% of intentions to vote and kept 19% among the less educated.
In the Northeast, where Haddad has its best performance, PT candidate fluctuated positively a point, getting at 35% of the vote. Among the Southeast voters backed, past 16% for 13% in a week, while Bolsonaro further extended their lead in the region with the largest number of the country's voters: it went from 31% for 35%.
The survey brought good news for Bolsonaro, even though he had been under attack from opponents last week, and women's events. The negative campaign was, inclusive, powered by friendly fire, as vice declarations, Hamilton General Mourao on the 13th salary, and the discovery of an ex-wife's case against the PSL candidate, in which she accused him including theft of a safe.
Opponents claim that Bolsonaro developed a kind of “Teflon effect”, where nadda against him glue. Part of this mechanism is related to the strength of antipetismo, which has the largest proportions in the electorate after Haddad began to grow in the polls.
The PT candidate also had a wave of bad news in your campaign, as the attacks of opponents highlighting cases of party corruption and poor assessment of his administration in the city of Sao Paulo and even the controversial statements of José Dirceu, according to which the prosecution acts as “political police”. Dirceu has become a kind of Mourao Haddad towards creating controversy for the campaign.
By Ibope released yesterday, voting intentions in Haddad already reflect some of the damage and strengthening the movement antipetista, winning different socioeconomic strata and has Bolsonaro as most representative.
Bolsonaro also increased between the richest, getting at 46% (before I had 42%) – Haddad went from 15% for 17%. Among those who have higher education, Bolsonaro grew 7 points, reaching 40% (Haddad had 16% and passed 14%).
Who grew the most among the poorest, however, was Alckmin: the PSDB candidate went from 6% for 12% of voting intentions among those with family income up to one minimum wage. Alckmin, however, He failed to act on more educated and wealthier strata, according to Ibope, even after intense week of criticism of Bolsonaro. That was the voter who traditionally voted for PSDB and now migrated to the PSL candidate, which has attracted also helpful vote of voters from other candidates such as Marina Silva (Network), John AMOEDO (New) and Alvaro Dias (We can).